Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 13.130861 15.003795 17.011963 19.320908 21.897829 24.680744 27.908835
2024-10-20 9.835148 12.233942 14.994144 18.388555 22.432783 27.078418 32.799030
2024-10-27 7.472075 10.071664 13.267047 17.446646 22.727967 29.134742 37.444566
2024-11-03 6.356628 9.214976 12.942628 18.090749 24.935782 33.634714 45.420976
2024-11-10 5.794494 8.969066 13.333415 19.655423 28.439881 40.055345 56.383266
2024-11-17 5.117114 8.441433 13.249739 20.537506 31.090380 45.565859 66.611361
2024-11-24 4.328402 7.611925 12.607289 20.522583 32.451436 49.399731 74.840307
2024-12-01 3.569769 6.694602 11.693686 19.968207 32.931257 51.980492 81.456124
2024-12-08 3.046951 6.070100 11.138334 19.870705 34.041336 55.506107 89.630499
2024-12-15 2.682747 5.654565 10.857170 20.155781 35.733369 59.978839 99.462292
2024-12-22 2.306945 5.150463 10.351267 19.993764 36.664576 63.312275 107.736602
2024-12-29 2.151169 5.040762 10.522359 20.997651 39.580965 69.934884 121.502734
2025-01-05 1.885896 4.675764 10.196514 21.118623 41.069673 74.461141 132.402123
2025-01-12 1.570247 4.144092 9.478706 20.436493 41.090979 76.567753 139.519505
2025-01-19 1.292688 3.638682 8.736455 19.612311 40.765417 78.043919 145.664570
2025-01-26 1.201916 3.553299 8.848271 20.469074 43.601603 85.144833 161.722100
2025-02-02 1.196063 3.676595 9.421786 22.313114 48.441917 96.055647 184.915366
2025-02-09 1.128090 3.627754 9.607568 23.368829 51.837260 104.575199 204.375687
2025-02-16 0.998418 3.387654 9.325362 23.399303 53.213681 109.503189 217.737970
2025-02-23 0.849597 3.059713 8.787596 22.808371 53.281944 112.000952 226.849195
2025-03-02 0.748093 2.845389 8.491839 22.719121 54.357131 116.431207 239.681114
2025-03-09 0.679566 2.715706 8.387982 23.052975 56.329881 122.663472 256.113787
2025-03-16 0.596940 2.520366 8.084311 22.879806 57.197437 126.787585 268.782829